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Zach is so great for this site and i hope mobs never run him off.
The evidence that they're lying can't consist of their position itself, because now you've logically ruled out that anyone can ever sincerely disagree with you. Moreover, shouldn't you also assume that people who agree with you are also likely to be paid agents?
I worked for record labels during this period. Figured I would do it for the rest of my life. But by 2010 things were feeling hollow and precarious. We stopped signing the whole band and only signed the frontman. 360 deals took growing chunks of all revenue streams. Terrestrial radio had collapsed.
This also explains the experience some of us had where roughly from 2005-2015 ish, plus or minus a few years on each side, it was easier to make a living. The cost of distribution had cratered, but we were still acting like artisans, rather than making commodities for the aggregators.
The practice of using coding agents to write comprehensive test suites to build confidence in code changes and the geometric speedups we're seeing in coding model inference are on a crash course. If I ran my harness in fast mode it would spend 75% of the time waiting on tests to finish.
I'm realizing how different Star Wars must hit if you think the droids are all mindless drones. A bunch of themes and narrative arcs just turn to vapor.
Gotta say I prefer Zach's approach over Hank's. IMO if he hadn't tried to use C3PO as a relatable proxy for "autonomous machine with human-equivalent moral concern and qualia" there would've been less hubbub. It seems a lot of folks don't consider threeps a moral patient.
Anybody who can say with conviction that students are making a mistake when they discount the value of traditional education signaling in favor of more social means of access and status has too much conviction. We can't promise "learn xyz and you'll have a good life" and they know it.
At my last job I shaved a little of the cloud bill by shutting down some old infra. Devs were on a $20 OAI plan at the time and many ran into quota limits. I asked to run an experiment where we gave one dev a Vertex API key w/ a months worth of the savings to see if impacts delivery.
AI token budget consensus I'm hearing from friends at >150 developer companies is ~$3000-4000/mo per developer. Which is equivalent to buying every developer a new Macbook Pro every month. My guess is we spend more and more per developer going forward, but hopefully on raw compute not model APIs.
Love digging into "why did this agent go off the rails?" and finding the answer was a subtle word choice in a single prompt 4 conversations ago. A large part of working w/ coding agents is developing a spidey sense for when you're about to monkey's paw yourself into a big mess.